Weekly Literature Review

Week 19 · May 10–May 16, 2021

50 relevant papers found across 6 themes

Executive Summary

This week’s review covers 50 papers across Flood Modeling and Risk Assessment, Drought Analysis and Prediction, Streamflow Forecasting and Machine Learning, Climate Change and Water Resources, Hydrologic Modeling and Calibration, and Water Management and Sustainability.


Table of Contents

  1. Executive Summary
  2. Flood Modeling and Risk Assessment
    1. Stakeholder perceptions in flood risk assessment: A hybrid fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS approach for Istanbul, Turkey
    2. Effectiveness of small- and large-scale Nature-Based Solutions for flood mitigation: The case of Ayutthaya, Thailand.
    3. GIS-Based Urban Flood Resilience Assessment Using Urban Flood Resilience Model: A Case Study of Peshawar City, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
    4. HazMapper: a global open-source natural hazard mapping application in Google Earth Engine
    5. How does a nature-based solution for flood control compare to a technical solution? Case study evidence from Belgium
  3. Drought Analysis and Prediction
    1. Evidence of anthropogenic impacts on global drought frequency, duration, and intensity
    2. Increased economic drought impacts in Europe with anthropogenic warming
    3. Watersheds may not recover from drought
    4. Hydraulically‐vulnerable trees survive on deep‐water access during droughts in a tropical forest
    5. MdCIB1, an apple bHLH transcription factor, plays a positive regulator in response to drought stress
  4. Streamflow Forecasting and Machine Learning
    1. Continental-scale streamflow modeling of basins with reservoirs: Towards a coherent deep-learning-based strategy
    2. Automatic gap-filling of daily streamflow time series in data-scarce regions using a machine learning algorithm
  5. Climate Change and Water Resources
    1. Observational constraints on low cloud feedback reduce uncertainty of climate sensitivity
    2. Emergent constraints on climate sensitivities
    3. Nuclear energy - The solution to climate change?
    4. Climate change impacts on the future offshore wind energy resource in China
    5. The impact of climate change on mental health and emotional wellbeing: current evidence and implications for policy and practice
    6. Future Climate Change Hotspots Under Different 21st Century Warming Scenarios
  6. Hydrologic Modeling and Calibration
    1. Deforestation reduces rainfall and agricultural revenues in the Brazilian Amazon
    2. Advances in Land Surface Modelling
    3. Development of the global dataset of Wetland Area and Dynamics for Methane Modeling (WAD2M)
    4. Accounting for canopy structure improves hyperspectral radiative transfer and sun-induced chlorophyll fluorescence representations in a new generation Earth System model
    5. A Spatial Evaluation of Arctic Sea Ice and Regional Limitations in CMIP6 Historical Simulations
    6. Comprehensive comparison of artificial neural networks and long short-term memory networks for rainfall-runoff simulation
    7. Marine ice-cliff instability modeling shows mixed-mode ice-cliff failure and yields calving rate parameterization
    8. Global ecosystem-scale plant hydraulic traits retrieved using model–data fusion
    9. A Vector‐Based River Routing Model for Earth System Models: Parallelization and Global Applications
  7. Water Management and Sustainability
    1. Long‐term declines and recovery of meadow area across the world’s seagrass bioregions
    2. 1.5 °C degrowth scenarios suggest the need for new mitigation pathways
    3. Weathering Plastics as a Planetary Boundary Threat: Exposure, Fate, and Hazards
    4. Soil moisture retrieval from remote sensing measurements: Current knowledge and directions for the future
    5. An ecosystem service perspective on urban nature, physical activity, and health
    6. Global carbon budget of reservoirs is overturned by the quantification of drawdown areas
    7. Ubiquitous atmospheric production of organic acids mediated by cloud droplets
    8. Freshwater systems and ecosystem services: Challenges and chances for cross-fertilization of disciplines
    9. Calcium carbonate dissolution patterns in the ocean
    10. Risk of groundwater contamination widely underestimated because of fast flow into aquifers
    11. Orchard management with small unmanned aerial vehicles: a survey of sensing and analysis approaches
    12. Economic-Emission Dispatch Problem in Power Systems With Carbon Capture Power Plants
    13. Protecting local water quality has global benefits
    14. Global Surface Temperature: A New Insight
    15. Changes in Calcareous Soil Activity, Nutrient Availability, and Corn Productivity Due to The Integrated Effect of Straw Mulch and Irrigation Regimes
    16. Reduced resilience of terrestrial ecosystems locally is not reflected on a global scale
    17. Editorial: Broadening the Use of Machine Learning in Hydrology
    18. Deforestation and Habitat Loss: Human Causes, Consequences and Possible Solutions
    19. A continental perspective on the timing of environmental change during the last glacial stage in Australia
    20. The Changing Face of Winter: Lessons and Questions From the Laurentian Great Lakes
    21. First comprehensive quantification of annual land use/cover from 1990 to 2020 across mainland Vietnam
    22. Surface water dynamics analysis based on sentinel imagery and Google Earth Engine Platform: a case study of Jayakwadi dam
    23. How Does a Pinatubo‐Size Volcanic Cloud Reach the Middle Stratosphere?
  8. Statistics
    1. Papers by journal
  9. Filtering Criteria

Flood Modeling and Risk Assessment

This week features 5 papers advancing flood science, spanning susceptibility mapping, risk assessment, and hydrodynamic modeling. Notable contributions from Ekmekcioğlu, Vojinovic et al. The studies collectively advance both data-driven and physically-based approaches to flood prediction and management.

Stakeholder perceptions in flood risk assessment: A hybrid fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS approach for Istanbul, Turkey

Authors: Ömer Ekmekcioğlu, Kerim Koç, Mehmet Özger

Journal: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction · DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102327 · Citations: 149

Matched topics: water management, flood

Abstract not available.


Effectiveness of small- and large-scale Nature-Based Solutions for flood mitigation: The case of Ayutthaya, Thailand.

Authors: Z. Vojinovic, A. Alves, J. Gómez, S. Weesakul, Weeraya Keerakamolchai, Vorawit Meesuk et al.

Journal: Science of the Total Environment · DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.147725 · Citations: 139

Matched topics: flood

There is growing evidence that traditional response to floods and flood-related disaster is no longer achieving desirable results. Nature-Based Solutions (NBS) represent a relatively new response towards disaster risk reduction, water security, and resilience to climate change, which has a potential to be more effective and sustainable than traditional measures. However, in practice, these measures are still being applied at a slow rate while traditional grey infrastructure remains as a prefe…


GIS-Based Urban Flood Resilience Assessment Using Urban Flood Resilience Model: A Case Study of Peshawar City, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan

Authors: Muhammad Tayyab, Jiquan Zhang, M. Hussain, Safi Ullah, Xingpeng Liu, Shahdab Khan et al.

Journal: Remote Sensing · DOI: 10.3390/rs13101864 · Citations: 130

Matched topics: flood

Urban flooding has been an alarming issue in the past around the globe, particularly in South Asia. Pakistan is no exception from this situation where urban floods with associated damages are frequently occurring phenomena. In Pakistan, rapid urbanization is the key factor for urban flooding, which is not taken into account. This study aims to identify flood sensitivity and coping capacity while assessing urban flood resilience and move a step toward the initialization of resilience, specific…


HazMapper: a global open-source natural hazard mapping application in Google Earth Engine

Authors: Corey Scheip, Karl W. Wegmann

Journal: Natural hazards and earth system sciences · DOI: 10.5194/nhess-21-1495-2021 · Citations: 114

Matched topics: flood, land surface model, earth system model

Abstract. Modern satellite networks with rapid image acquisition cycles allow for near-real-time imaging of areas impacted by natural hazards such as mass wasting, flooding, and volcanic eruptions. Publicly accessible multi-spectral datasets (e.g., Landsat, Sentinel-2) are particularly helpful in analyzing the spatial extent of disturbances, however, the datasets are large and require intensive processing on high-powered computers by trained analysts. HazMapper is an open-access hazard mappin…


How does a nature-based solution for flood control compare to a technical solution? Case study evidence from Belgium

Authors: Francis Turkelboom, Rolinde Demeyer, Liesbet Vranken, Piet De Becker, Filip Raymaekers, Lieven De Smet

Journal: AMBIO · DOI: 10.1007/s13280-021-01548-4 · Citations: 82

Matched topics: hydrology, runoff, flood, land surface model

The strategy of reconnecting rivers with their floodplains currently gains popularity because it not only harnesses natural capacities of floodplains but also increases social co-benefits and biodiversity. In this paper, we present an example of a successfully implemented nature-based solution (NBS) in the Dijle valley in the centre of Belgium. The research objective is to retrospectively assess cost and benefit differences between a technical solution (storm basins) and an alternative NBS, h…


Drought Analysis and Prediction

Drought research this week encompasses 5 studies covering monitoring, prediction, and impact assessment. Key work by Chiang, Naumann et al. highlights advances in drought characterization across multiple spatial and temporal scales.

Evidence of anthropogenic impacts on global drought frequency, duration, and intensity

Authors: Felicia Chiang, Omid Mazdiyasni, Amir AghaKouchak

Journal: Nature Communications · DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-22314-w · Citations: 627

Matched topics: hydrology, hydrologic model, streamflow, drought, land surface model, climate change, hydropower, earth system model

Most climate change detection and attribution studies have focused on mean or extreme temperature or precipitation, neglecting to explore long-term changes in drought characteristics. Here we provide evidence that anthropogenic forcing has impacted interrelated meteorological drought characteristics. Using SPI and SPEI indices generated from an ensemble of 9 CMIP6 models (using 3 realizations per model), we show that the presence of anthropogenic forcing has increased the drought frequency, m…


Increased economic drought impacts in Europe with anthropogenic warming

Authors: G. Naumann, C. Cammalleri, L. Mentaschi, L. Feyen

Journal: Nature Climate Change · DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-01044-3 · Citations: 438

Matched topics: drought, climate change

Abstract not available.


Watersheds may not recover from drought

Authors: Tim Peterson, Margarita Saft, Murray Peel, Andrew John

Journal: Science · DOI: 10.1126/science.abd5085 · Citations: 280

Matched topics: runoff, streamflow, drought

The Millennium Drought (southeastern Australia) provided a natural experiment to challenge the assumption that watershed streamflow always recovers from drought. Seven years after the drought, the runoff (as a fraction of precipitation) had not recovered in 37% of watersheds, and the number of recovered watersheds was not increasing. When recovery did occur, it was not explained by watershed wetness. For those watersheds not recovered, ~80% showed no evidence of recovering soon, suggesting pe…


Hydraulically‐vulnerable trees survive on deep‐water access during droughts in a tropical forest

Authors: Rutuja Chitra‐Tarak, Chonggang Xu, Salomón Aguilar, Kristina J. Anderson‐Teixeira, Jeffrey Q. Chambers, Matteo Detto et al.

Journal: New Phytologist · DOI: 10.1111/nph.17464 · Citations: 124

Matched topics: hydrology, hydrologic model, drought, land surface model, earth system model

Deep-water access is arguably the most effective, but under-studied, mechanism that plants employ to survive during drought. Vulnerability to embolism and hydraulic safety margins can predict mortality risk at given levels of dehydration, but deep-water access may delay plant dehydration. Here, we tested the role of deep-water access in enabling survival within a diverse tropical forest community in Panama using a novel data-model approach. We inversely estimated the effective rooting depth (…


MdCIB1, an apple bHLH transcription factor, plays a positive regulator in response to drought stress

Authors: Yi‐Ran Ren, Yuying Yang, Qiang Zhao, Tian-En Zhang, Chu‐Kun Wang, Yu‐Jin Hao et al.

Journal: Environmental and Experimental Botany · DOI: 10.1016/j.envexpbot.2021.104523 · Citations: 84

Matched topics: drought

Abstract not available.


Streamflow Forecasting and Machine Learning

Machine learning and data-driven approaches to streamflow prediction feature prominently with 2 papers. The studies demonstrate continued innovation in hybrid modeling frameworks, signal decomposition techniques, and ensemble methods for improved hydrological forecasting.

Continental-scale streamflow modeling of basins with reservoirs: Towards a coherent deep-learning-based strategy

Authors: Wenyu Ouyang, Kathryn Lawson, Dapeng Feng, Lei Ye, Chi Zhang, Chaopeng Shen

Journal: Journal of Hydrology · DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126455 · Citations: 104

Matched topics: hydrologic model, runoff, streamflow, reservoir, flood, irrigation

Abstract not available.


Automatic gap-filling of daily streamflow time series in data-scarce regions using a machine learning algorithm

Authors: Pedro Arriagada, Bruno Karelovic, Óscar Link

Journal: Journal of Hydrology · DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126454 · Citations: 85

Matched topics: hydrologic model, runoff, streamflow, irrigation

Abstract Complete hydrological time series are crucial for water and energy resources management and modelling in a changing climate. The reliability of the non-parametric stochastic machine learning algorithm MissForest was assessed for gap-filling of daily streamflow time series in a data-scarce region with strong climatic variability. A total of 1,586 reconstructions of streamflows for 1970-2016 were analyzed. Overall, MissForest performed satisfactorily to well, allowing a precise and rel…


Climate Change and Water Resources

Climate-water interactions are explored in 6 papers this week, addressing impacts on the cryosphere, water cycle components, and regional water resources under changing conditions.

Observational constraints on low cloud feedback reduce uncertainty of climate sensitivity

Authors: Timothy A. Myers, Ryan C. Scott, Mark D. Zelinka, Stephen A. Klein, Joel R. Norris, Peter Caldwell

Journal: Nature Climate Change · DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-01039-0 · Citations: 253

Matched topics: land surface model, earth system model

Abstract not available.


Emergent constraints on climate sensitivities

Authors: Mark S. Williamson, Chad W. Thackeray, Peter M. Cox, Alex Hall, Chris Huntingford, Femke J. M. M. Nijsse

Journal: Reviews of Modern Physics · DOI: 10.1103/revmodphys.93.025004 · Citations: 107

Matched topics: runoff, land surface model, earth system model

Emergent constraints (ECs) relate observables of the climate system to equivalent quantities simulated from Earth system models that are related to properties of the future climate. The uncertainties in projections of these properties may be reduced by constraining the modeled quantities to observables. The article examines how such relationships emerge from Earth system models, simple theories for how ECs can be derived from temporal variability in the climate system, and how ECs might be mi…


Nuclear energy - The solution to climate change?

Authors: N. Muellner, Nikolaus Arnold, Klaus Gufler, Wolfgang Kromp, Wolfgang Renneberg, Wolfgang Liebert

Journal: Energy Policy · DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112363 · Citations: 106

Matched topics: climate change

With increased awareness of climate change in recent years nuclear energy has received renewed attention. Positions that attribute nuclear energy an important role in climate change mitigation emerge. We estimate an upper bound of the CO2 saving potential of various nuclear energy growth scenarios, starting from our projection of nuclear generating capacity based on current national energy plans to scenarios that introduce nuclear energy as substantial instrument for climate protection. We th…


Climate change impacts on the future offshore wind energy resource in China

Authors: X. Costoya, M. deCastro, David Carvalho, Z. Feng, M. Gómez‐Gesteira

Journal: Renewable Energy · DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2021.05.001 · Citations: 93

Matched topics: climate change

Abstract not available.


The impact of climate change on mental health and emotional wellbeing: current evidence and implications for policy and practice

Authors: Emma Lawrance, Thompson, Rhiannon, Gianluca Fontana, Neil Jennings

Journal: Spiral (Imperial College London) · DOI: 10.25561/88568 · Citations: 91

Matched topics: climate change

Abstract not available.


Future Climate Change Hotspots Under Different 21st Century Warming Scenarios

Authors: Xuewei Fan, Chiyuan Miao, Qingyun Duan, Chenwei Shen, Yi Wu

Journal: Earth s Future · DOI: 10.1029/2021ef002027 · Citations: 79

Matched topics: climate change

Abstract Identifying climate change hotspot regions is critical for planning effective mitigation and adaptation activities. We use standard Euclidean distance (SED) to calculate integrated changes in precipitation and temperature means, interannual variability, and extremes between different future warming levels and a baseline period (1995–2014) using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) climate model ensemble. We find consistent hotspots in the Amazon, central and west…


Hydrologic Modeling and Calibration

Hydrologic model development and evaluation features 9 papers covering precipitation estimation, model calibration, rainfall-runoff processes, and large-scale simulation advances.

Deforestation reduces rainfall and agricultural revenues in the Brazilian Amazon

Authors: Argemiro Teixeira Leite‐Filho, Britaldo Soares‐Filho, Juliana Leroy Davis, Gabriel Medeiros Abrahão, Jan Börner

Journal: Nature Communications · DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-22840-7 · Citations: 311

Matched topics: hydrologic model, land surface model, earth system model

It has been suggested that rainfall in the Amazon decreases if forest loss exceeds some threshold, but the specific value of this threshold remains uncertain. Here, we investigate the relationship between historical deforestation and rainfall at different geographical scales across the Southern Brazilian Amazon (SBA). We also assess impacts of deforestation policy scenarios on the region’s agriculture. Forest loss of up to 55-60% within 28 km grid cells enhances rainfall, but further deforest…


Advances in Land Surface Modelling

Authors: Eleanor Blyth, Vivek K. Arora, Douglas B. Clark, Simon Dadson, Martin G. De Kauwe, David M. Lawrence et al.

Journal: Current Climate Change Reports · DOI: 10.1007/s40641-021-00171-5 · Citations: 179

Matched topics: hydrology, hydrologic model, runoff, streamflow, water management, land surface model, surface water, earth system model

Abstract Land surface models have an increasing scope. Initially designed to capture the feedbacks between the land and the atmosphere as part of weather and climate prediction, they are now used as a critical tool in the urgent need to inform policy about land-use and water-use management in a world that is changing physically and economically. This paper outlines the way that models have evolved through this change of purpose and what might the future hold. It highlights the importance of d…


Development of the global dataset of Wetland Area and Dynamics for Methane Modeling (WAD2M)

Authors: Zhen Zhang, Etienne Fluet‐Chouinard, Katherine Jensen, K. C. McDonald, Gustaf Hugelius, Thomas Gumbricht et al.

Journal: Earth system science data · DOI: 10.5194/essd-13-2001-2021 · Citations: 143

Matched topics: hydrology, hydrologic model, runoff, land surface model, earth system model

Abstract. Seasonal and interannual variations in global wetland area are a strong driver of fluctuations in global methane (CH4) emissions. Current maps of global wetland extent vary in their wetland definition, causing substantial disagreement between and large uncertainty in estimates of wetland methane emissions. To reconcile these differences for large-scale wetland CH4 modeling, we developed the global Wetland Area and Dynamics for Methane Modeling (WAD2M) version 1.0 dataset at a ∼ 25 k…


Accounting for canopy structure improves hyperspectral radiative transfer and sun-induced chlorophyll fluorescence representations in a new generation Earth System model

Authors: Renato K. Braghiere, Yujie Wang, Russell Doughty, Daniel Sousa, Troy S. Magney, Jean‐Luc Widlowski et al.

Journal: Remote Sensing of Environment · DOI: 10.1016/j.rse.2021.112497 · Citations: 93

Matched topics: land surface model, earth system model

Abstract not available.


A Spatial Evaluation of Arctic Sea Ice and Regional Limitations in CMIP6 Historical Simulations

Authors: Matthew Watts, Wieslaw Maslowski, Younjoo Lee, Jaclyn Clement Kinney, Robert Osiński

Journal: Journal of Climate · DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0491.1 · Citations: 91

Matched topics: land surface model, earth system model

Abstract The Arctic sea ice response to a warming climate is assessed in a subset of models participating in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), using several metrics in comparison with satellite observations and results from the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System and the Regional Arctic System Model. Our study examines the historical representation of sea ice extent, volume, and thickness using spatial analysis metrics, such as the integrated ice …


Comprehensive comparison of artificial neural networks and long short-term memory networks for rainfall-runoff simulation

Authors: Ganquan Mao, Meng Wang, Junguo Liu, Zifeng Wang, Kai Wang, Ying Meng et al.

Journal: Physics and Chemistry of the Earth Parts A/B/C · DOI: 10.1016/j.pce.2021.103026 · Citations: 89

Matched topics: hydrology, hydrologic model, runoff, water management

Accurate and efficient runoff simulations are crucial for water management in basins. Rainfall-runoff simulation approaches range between physical, conceptual, and data-driven models. With the recent development of machine-learning techniques, machine learning methods have been widely applied in the field of hydrology. Existing studies show that such methods can achieve comparable or even better performances than conventional hydrological models in runoff simulation. In particular, long short…


Marine ice-cliff instability modeling shows mixed-mode ice-cliff failure and yields calving rate parameterization

Authors: Anna Crawford, Douglas I. Benn, Joe Todd, Jan Åström, J. N. Bassis, Thomas Zwinger

Journal: Nature Communications · DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-23070-7 · Citations: 87

Matched topics: earth system model

Marine ice-cliff instability could accelerate ice loss from Antarctica, and according to some model predictions could potentially contribute >1 m of global mean sea level rise by 2100 at current emission rates. Regions with over-deepening basins >1 km in depth (e.g., the West Antarctic Ice Sheet) are particularly susceptible to this instability, as retreat could expose increasingly tall cliffs that could exceed ice stability thresholds. Here, we use a suite of high-fidelity glacier models to …


Global ecosystem-scale plant hydraulic traits retrieved using model–data fusion

Authors: Yanlan Liu, Natan Holtzman, Alexandra G. Konings

Journal: Hydrology and earth system sciences · DOI: 10.5194/hess-25-2399-2021 · Citations: 85

Matched topics: runoff, land surface model, earth system model

Abstract. Droughts are expected to become more frequent and severe under climate change, increasing the need for accurate predictions of plant drought response. This response varies substantially, depending on plant properties that regulate water transport and storage within plants, i.e., plant hydraulic traits. It is, therefore, crucial to map plant hydraulic traits at a large scale to better assess drought impacts. Improved understanding of global variations in plant hydraulic traits is als…


A Vector‐Based River Routing Model for Earth System Models: Parallelization and Global Applications

Authors: Naoki Mizukami, Martyn Clark, Shervan Gharari, Erik Kluzek, Ming Pan, Peirong Lin et al.

Journal: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems · DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002434 · Citations: 78

Matched topics: hydrologic model, river, runoff, streamflow, land surface model, earth system model

Abstract A vector‐river network explicitly uses realistic geometries of river reaches and catchments for spatial discretization in a river model. This enables improving the accuracy of the physical properties of the modeled river system, compared to a gridded river network that has been used in Earth System Models. With a finer‐scale river network, resolving smaller‐scale river reaches, there is a need for efficient methods to route streamflow and its constituents throughout the river network…


Water Management and Sustainability

Water management research spans 23 papers addressing topics from irrigation optimization and reservoir operations to water resource assessment and sustainability frameworks.

Long‐term declines and recovery of meadow area across the world’s seagrass bioregions

Authors: Jillian C. Dunic, Christopher J. Brown, Rod M. Connolly, Mischa P. Turschwell, Isabelle M. Côté

Journal: Global Change Biology · DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15684 · Citations: 446

Matched topics: water management

(19.1% of surveyed meadow area) occurring since 1880. Declines have typically been non-linear, with rapid and historical losses observed in several bioregions. The greatest net losses of area occurred in four bioregions (Tropical Atlantic, Temperate North Atlantic East, Temperate Southern Oceans and Tropical Indo-Pacific), with declining trends being the slowest and most consistent in the latter two bioregions. In some bioregions, trends have recently stabilised or reversed. Losses, however, …


1.5 °C degrowth scenarios suggest the need for new mitigation pathways

Authors: Lorenz Keyßer, Manfred Lenzen

Journal: Nature Communications · DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-22884-9 · Citations: 309

Matched topics: climate change, hydropower, earth system model

1.5 °C scenarios reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) rely on combinations of controversial negative emissions and unprecedented technological change, while assuming continued growth in gross domestic product (GDP). Thus far, the integrated assessment modelling community and the IPCC have neglected to consider degrowth scenarios, where economic output declines due to stringent climate mitigation. Hence, their potential to avoid reliance on negative emissions and sp…


Weathering Plastics as a Planetary Boundary Threat: Exposure, Fate, and Hazards

Authors: Hans Peter H. Arp, Dana Kühnel, Christoph Rummel, Matthew MacLeod, Annegret Potthoff, Sophia Reichelt et al.

Journal: Environmental Science & Technology · DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.1c01512 · Citations: 298

Matched topics: land surface model, earth system model

and their thresholds. We provide evidence that the third criterion could be fulfilled for weathering plastics in sensitive environments and therefore conclude that weathering plastics pose a planetary boundary threat. We suggest future research priorities to better understand (eco)toxicological hazards modulated by increasing exposure and continuous weathering processes, to better parametrize the planetary boundary threshold for plastic pollution.


Soil moisture retrieval from remote sensing measurements: Current knowledge and directions for the future

Authors: Zhao-Liang Li, Pei Leng, Chenghu Zhou, Kun‐Shan Chen, Fang-Cheng Zhou, Guofei Shang

Journal: Earth-Science Reviews · DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2021.103673 · Citations: 287

Matched topics: land surface model, surface water

Abstract not available.


An ecosystem service perspective on urban nature, physical activity, and health

Authors: Roy P. Remme, Howard Frumkin, Anne D. Guerry, ­Abby C. King, Lisa Mandle, Chethan Sarabu et al.

Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2018472118 · Citations: 239

Matched topics: flood, earth system model

Nature underpins human well-being in critical ways, especially in health. Nature provides pollination of nutritious crops, purification of drinking water, protection from floods, and climate security, among other well-studied health benefits. A crucial, yet challenging, research frontier is clarifying how nature promotes physical activity for its many mental and physical health benefits, particularly in densely populated cities with scarce and dwindling access to nature. Here we frame this fr…


Global carbon budget of reservoirs is overturned by the quantification of drawdown areas

Authors: Philipp S. Keller, Rafael Marcé, Biel Obrador, Matthias Koschorreck

Journal: Nature Geoscience · DOI: 10.1038/s41561-021-00734-z · Citations: 187

Matched topics: hydrologic model, reservoir, land surface model, hydropower, surface water, earth system model

Abstract Reservoir drawdown areas—where sediment is exposed to the atmosphere due to water-level fluctuations—are hotspots for carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions. However, the global extent of drawdown areas is unknown, precluding an accurate assessment of the carbon budget of reservoirs. Here we show, on the basis of satellite observations of 6,794 reservoirs between 1985 and 2015, that 15% of the global reservoir area was dry. Exposure of drawdown areas was most pronounced in reservoirs close…


Ubiquitous atmospheric production of organic acids mediated by cloud droplets

Authors: Bruno Franco, Thomas Blumenstock, Changmin Cho, Lieven Clarisse, Cathy Clerbaux, Pierre Coheur et al.

Journal: Nature · DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-03462-x · Citations: 186

Matched topics: earth system model

. Here we present atmospheric chamber experiments that show that formaldehyde is efficiently converted to gaseous formic acid via a multiphase pathway that involves its hydrated form, methanediol. In warm cloud droplets, methanediol undergoes fast outgassing but slow dehydration. Using a chemistry-climate model, we estimate that the gas-phase oxidation of methanediol produces up to four times more formic acid than all other known chemical sources combined. Our findings reconcile model predict…


Freshwater systems and ecosystem services: Challenges and chances for cross-fertilization of disciplines

Authors: Ágnes Vári, Simone Podschun, Tibor Erős, Thomas Hein, Beáta Pataki, Cristian Iojă et al.

Journal: AMBIO · DOI: 10.1007/s13280-021-01556-4 · Citations: 181

Matched topics: hydrology, hydrologic model, land surface model, hydropower, earth system model

Freshwater ecosystems are among the most threatened in the world, while providing numerous essential ecosystem services (ES) to humans. Despite their importance, research on freshwater ecosystem services is limited. Here, we examine how freshwater studies could help to advance ES research and vice versa. We summarize major knowledge gaps and suggest solutions focusing on science and policy in Europe. We found several features that are unique to freshwater ecosystems, but often disregarded in …


Calcium carbonate dissolution patterns in the ocean

Authors: Olivier Sulpis, Emil Jeansson, Ashley Dinauer, Siv K. Lauvset, Jack J. Middelburg

Journal: Nature Geoscience · DOI: 10.1038/s41561-021-00743-y · Citations: 157

Matched topics: surface water, earth system model

Abstract not available.


Risk of groundwater contamination widely underestimated because of fast flow into aquifers

Authors: Andreas Hartmann, Scott Jasechko, Tom Gleeson, Yoshihide Wada, Bartolomé Andreo, Juan Antonio Barberá et al.

Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2024492118 · Citations: 139

Matched topics: hydrology, hydrologic model, runoff, streamflow, land surface model, earth system model

Groundwater pollution threatens human and ecosystem health in many regions around the globe. Fast flow to the groundwater through focused recharge is known to transmit short-lived pollutants into carbonate aquifers, endangering the quality of groundwaters where one quarter of the world’s population lives. However, the large-scale impact of such focused recharge on groundwater quality remains poorly understood. Here, we apply a continental-scale model to quantify the risk of groundwater contam…


Orchard management with small unmanned aerial vehicles: a survey of sensing and analysis approaches

Authors: Chenglong Zhang, João Valente, Lammert Kooistra, Leifeng Guo, Wensheng Wang

Journal: Precision Agriculture · DOI: 10.1007/s11119-021-09813-y · Citations: 138

Matched topics: land surface model, earth system model

Abstract Advances in sensor miniaturization are increasing the global popularity of unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-based remote sensing applications in many domains of agriculture. Fruit orchards (the source of the fruit industry chain) require site-specific or even individual-tree-specific management throughout the growing season—from flowering, fruitlet development, ripening, and harvest—to tree dormancy. The recent increase in research on deploying UAV in orchard management has yielded new …


Economic-Emission Dispatch Problem in Power Systems With Carbon Capture Power Plants

Authors: Alireza Akbari‐Dibavar, Behnam Mohammadi‐Ivatloo, Kazem Zare, Tohid Khalili, Ali Bidram

Journal: IEEE Transactions on Industry Applications · DOI: 10.1109/tia.2021.3079329 · Citations: 137

Matched topics: hydropower

Despite the increasing level of renewable power generation in power grids, fossil fuel power plants still have a significant role in producing carbon emissions. The integration of carbon capturing and storing systems to the conventional power plants can significantly reduce the spread of carbon emissions. In this article, the economic-emission dispatch of combined renewable and coal power plants equipped with carbon capture systems is addressed in a multiobjective optimization framework. The …


Protecting local water quality has global benefits

Authors: John Downing, Stephen Polasky, Sheila M. Olmstead, Stephen C. Newbold

Journal: Nature Communications · DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-22836-3 · Citations: 130

Matched topics: hydrologic model, land surface model, surface water

Surface water is among Earth’s most important resources. Yet, benefit-cost studies often report that the costs of water quality protection exceed its benefits. One possible reason for this seeming paradox is that often only a narrow range of local water quality benefits are considered. In particular, the climate damages from water pollution have rarely been quantified. Recent advances in global water science allow the computation of the global methane emission from lakes caused by human nutri…


Global Surface Temperature: A New Insight

Authors: Mohammad Valipour, Sayed M. Bateni, Changhyun Jun

Journal: Climate · DOI: 10.3390/cli9050081 · Citations: 93

Matched topics: hydrologic model, land surface model

This paper belongs to our Special Issue “Application of Climate Data in Hydrologic Models” […]


Changes in Calcareous Soil Activity, Nutrient Availability, and Corn Productivity Due to The Integrated Effect of Straw Mulch and Irrigation Regimes

Authors: M. Mubarak, E. Salem, M. Kenawey, H. Saudy

Journal: Journal of soil science and plant nutrition · DOI: 10.1007/s42729-021-00498-w · Citations: 93

Matched topics: irrigation

Abstract not available.


Reduced resilience of terrestrial ecosystems locally is not reflected on a global scale

Authors: Yuhao Feng, Haojie Su, Zhiyao Tang, Shaopeng Wang, Xia Zhao, Heng Zhang et al.

Journal: Communications Earth & Environment · DOI: 10.1038/s43247-021-00163-1 · Citations: 93

Matched topics: earth system model

Abstract Global climate change likely alters the structure and function of vegetation and the stability of terrestrial ecosystems. It is therefore important to assess the factors controlling ecosystem resilience from local to global scales. Here we assess terrestrial vegetation resilience over the past 35 years using early warning indicators calculated from normalized difference vegetation index data. On a local scale we find that climate change reduced the resilience of ecosystems in 64.5% o…


Editorial: Broadening the Use of Machine Learning in Hydrology

Authors: Chaopeng Shen, Xingyuan Chen, E. Laloy

Journal: Frontiers in Water · DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2021.681023 · Citations: 88

Matched topics: hydrology

Abstract not available.


Deforestation and Habitat Loss: Human Causes, Consequences and Possible Solutions

Authors: Tombari Bodo, Batombari Gbidum Gimah, Kemetonye Joy Seomoni

Journal: Journal of Geographical Research · DOI: 10.30564/jgr.v4i2.3059 · Citations: 88

Matched topics: flood

Deforestation leads to habitat loss while preservation and conservation of the natural forest increase biological diversity. Multiple factors have been reported to be responsible for deforestation and habitat loss, which could either be of human or natural origin.Natural causes of deforestation could be as a result of forest fires, droughts, exotic animals, floods, overpopulation of foreign animals and climate change. That notwithstanding, human activities are among the principal causes of gl…


A continental perspective on the timing of environmental change during the last glacial stage in Australia

Authors: Haidee Cadd, Lynda Petherick, Jonathan Tyler, Annika Herbert, Tim J. Cohen, Kale Sniderman et al.

Journal: Quaternary Research · DOI: 10.1017/qua.2021.16 · Citations: 86

Matched topics: hydrology, streamflow, land surface model

Abstract The timing and duration of the coldest period in the last glacial stage, often referred to as the last glacial maximum (LGM), has been observed to vary spatially and temporally. In Australia, this period is characterised by colder, and in some places more arid, climates than today. We applied Monte-Carlo change point analysis to all available continuous proxy records covering this period, primarily pollen records, from across Australia (n = 37) to assess this change. We find a signif…


The Changing Face of Winter: Lessons and Questions From the Laurentian Great Lakes

Authors: Ted Ozersky, Andrew J. Bramburger, Ashley K. Elgin, Henry A. Vanderploeg, Jia Wang, Jay A. Austin et al.

Journal: Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences · DOI: 10.1029/2021jg006247 · Citations: 86

Matched topics: runoff, streamflow, land surface model

Abstract Among its many impacts, climate warming is leading to increasing winter air temperatures, decreasing ice cover extent, and changing winter precipitation patterns over the Laurentian Great Lakes and their watershed. Understanding and predicting the consequences of these changes is impeded by a shortage of winter‐period studies on most aspects of Great Lake limnology. In this review, we summarize what is known about the Great Lakes during their 3–6 months of winter and identify key ope…


First comprehensive quantification of annual land use/cover from 1990 to 2020 across mainland Vietnam

Authors: Duong Cao Phan, Ta Hoang Trung, Van Thinh Truong, Taiga Sasagawa, Thuy Phuong Thi Vu, Dieu Tien Bui et al.

Journal: Scientific Reports · DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-89034-5 · Citations: 81

Matched topics: land surface model, earth system model

). The spatial-temporal changes varied, but the most dynamic regions were the western north, the southern centre, and the south. These findings can provide evidence-based information on formulating and implementing coherent land management policies. The explicitly spatio-temporal VLUCDs can be benchmarks for global LULC validation, and utilized for a variety of applications in the research of environmental changes towards the Sustainable Development Goals.


Surface water dynamics analysis based on sentinel imagery and Google Earth Engine Platform: a case study of Jayakwadi dam

Authors: Vidya. U. Kandekar, Chaitanya B. Pande, J. Rajesh, A. A. Atre, S. D. Gorantiwar, S. A. Kadam et al.

Journal: Sustainable Water Resources Management · DOI: 10.1007/s40899-021-00527-7 · Citations: 76

Matched topics: water management, surface water, irrigation

Abstract not available.


How Does a Pinatubo‐Size Volcanic Cloud Reach the Middle Stratosphere?

Authors: Georgiy Stenchikov, Alexander Ukhov, Sergey Osipov, Ravan Ahmadov, Georg Grell, Karen Cady‐Pereira et al.

Journal: Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033829 · Citations: 76

Matched topics: land surface model

Abstract Volcanic explosions are the most critical replenishing mechanism of the stratospheric aerosol Junge layer. A fresh volcanic cloud comprises mostly sulfur‐bearing gases, volcanic ash, and water vapor. It is commonly assumed that only sulfate aerosols remain in an aged volcanic cloud. Accurate simulation of the initial evolution of multicomponent fresh volcanic clouds is largely missing due to insufficient spatial resolution and a lack of relevant physics in global climate models. Howe…


Statistics

Metric Count
Databases searched 2
Topics searched 16
Total papers fetched 1215
After deduplication 750
After LLM relevance filtering 50
Rejected (not relevant) 700

Papers by journal

Journal Papers
Nature Communications 5
AMBIO 2
Nature Climate Change 2
Journal of Hydrology 2
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 2
Nature Geoscience 2
International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 1
Science of the Total Environment 1
Remote Sensing 1
Natural hazards and earth system sciences 1
Science 1
New Phytologist 1
Environmental and Experimental Botany 1
Reviews of Modern Physics 1
Energy Policy 1
Renewable Energy 1
Spiral (Imperial College London) 1
Earth s Future 1
Current Climate Change Reports 1
Earth system science data 1
Remote Sensing of Environment 1
Journal of Climate 1
Physics and Chemistry of the Earth Parts A/B/C 1
Hydrology and earth system sciences 1
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 1
Global Change Biology 1
Environmental Science & Technology 1
Earth-Science Reviews 1
Nature 1
Precision Agriculture 1
IEEE Transactions on Industry Applications 1
Climate 1
Journal of soil science and plant nutrition 1
Communications Earth & Environment 1
Frontiers in Water 1
Journal of Geographical Research 1
Quaternary Research 1
Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences 1
Scientific Reports 1
Sustainable Water Resources Management 1
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres 1

Filtering Criteria

Topics: hydrology, hydrologic model, river, runoff, streamflow, reservoir, water management, flood, drought, seasonal, land surface model, climate change, hydropower, surface water, irrigation, earth system model

Databases: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex


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