Weekly Literature Review

Week 36 · August 31–September 6, 2020

50 relevant papers found across 6 themes

Executive Summary

This week’s review covers 50 papers across Flood Modeling and Risk Assessment, Drought Analysis and Prediction, Streamflow Forecasting and Machine Learning, Climate Change and Water Resources, Hydrologic Modeling and Calibration, and Water Management and Sustainability.


Table of Contents

  1. Executive Summary
  2. Flood Modeling and Risk Assessment
    1. A deep convolutional neural network model for rapid prediction of fluvial flood inundation
    2. Flood susceptibility modeling in Teesta River basin, Bangladesh using novel ensembles of bagging algorithms
    3. Impacts of climate change and reservoir operation on streamflow and flood characteristics in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin
    4. Cryosphere hazards in Ladakh: the 2014 Gya glacial lake outburst flood and its implications for risk assessment
  3. Drought Analysis and Prediction
    1. Challenges for drought assessment in the Mediterranean region under future climate scenarios
    2. A historical, geographical and ecological perspective on the 2018 European summer drought
    3. Drought characteristics and its elevation dependence in the Qinghai–Tibet plateau during the last half-century
    4. Projected drought conditions in Northwest China with CMIP6 models under combined SSPs and RCPs for 2015–2099
    5. More frequent and widespread persistent compound drought and heat event observed in China
    6. Sensitivity of gross primary productivity to climatic drivers during the summer drought of 2018 in Europe
    7. Future global socioeconomic risk to droughts based on estimates of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability in a changing climate
    8. Drought Propagation in Contiguous U.S. Watersheds: A Process‐Based Understanding of the Role of Climate and Watershed Properties
    9. Drought stress alters floral volatiles and reduces floral rewards, pollinator activity, and seed set in a global plant
    10. Changes in net ecosystem exchange over Europe during the 2018 drought based on atmospheric observations
    11. Grapevine VlbZIP30 improves drought resistance by directly activating VvNAC17 and promoting lignin biosynthesis through the regulation of three peroxidase genes
    12. Effect of the 2018 European drought on methane and carbon dioxide exchange of northern mire ecosystems
    13. Characteristics of Leaf Stomata and Their Relationship with Photosynthesis in Saccharum officinarum Under Drought and Silicon Application
    14. The fingerprint of the summer 2018 drought in Europe on ground-based atmospheric CO2measurements
    15. Climate elasticity of evapotranspiration shifts the water balance of Mediterranean climates during multi-year droughts
    16. Unfamiliar Territory: Emerging Themes for Ecological Drought Research and Management
    17. Physiological response of Swiss ecosystems to 2018 drought across plant types and elevation
  4. Streamflow Forecasting and Machine Learning
    1. Seasonality shift and streamflow flow variability trends in central India
    2. Impact assessment of climate change and human activities on streamflow signatures in the Yellow River Basin using the Budyko hypothesis and derived differential equation
    3. Forecast Informed Reservoir Operations Using Ensemble Streamflow Predictions for a Multipurpose Reservoir in Northern California
  5. Climate Change and Water Resources
    1. The contribution of global aviation to anthropogenic climate forcing for 2000 to 2018
    2. The appallingly bad neoclassical economics of climate change
    3. New perspectives on ‘warming–wetting’ trend in Xinjiang, China
    4. Disaster and climate change resilience: A bibliometric analysis
    5. Mercury linked to Deccan Traps volcanism, climate change and the end-Cretaceous mass extinction
    6. Three decades of research on climate change and peace: a bibliometrics analysis
    7. The Sea State CCI dataset v1: towards a sea state climate data record based on satellite observations
    8. Potential risks and challenges of climate change in the arid region of northwestern China
    9. Improving Climate Change Mitigation Analysis: A Framework for Examining Feasibility
    10. Butterfly effect and a self-modulating El Niño response to global warming
    11. Future changes in heatwave severity, duration and frequency due to climate change for the most populous cities
    12. Assessing the Potential for Mobilization of Old Soil Carbon After Permafrost Thaw: A Synthesis of 14C Measurements From the Northern Permafrost Region
    13. A Research Agenda for Climate Change Communication and Public Opinion: The Role of Scientific Consensus Messaging and Beyond
    14. How anticipated emotions shape behavioral intentions to fight climate change
    15. Climate Change Scenarios and Effects on Snow-Melt Runoff
    16. Leveraging Social Science to Generate Lasting Engagement with Climate Change Solutions
    17. The impact of climate change on the labor allocation: Empirical evidence from China
    18. Assessing impacts of future climate change on extreme fire weather and pyro-regions in Iberian Peninsula
    19. The Global‐Mean Precipitation Response to CO2‐Induced Warming in CMIP6 Models
  6. Hydrologic Modeling and Calibration
    1. Improved Estimators of Model Performance Efficiency for Skewed Hydrologic Data
    2. Taiwan Earth System Model Version 1: description and evaluation of mean state
    3. Rainfall and conduit drainage combine to accelerate nitrate loss from a karst agroecosystem: Insights from stable isotope tracing and high-frequency nitrate sensing
    4. Improving near real-time precipitation estimation using a U-Net convolutional neural network and geographical information
  7. Water Management and Sustainability
    1. A transition from conventional irrigation to fertigation with reclaimed wastewater: Prospects and challenges
    2. Deficit irrigation improves maize yield and water use efficiency in a semi-arid environment
    3. Health risk assessment of toxicants in Meriç River Delta Wetland, Thrace Region, Turkey
  8. Statistics
    1. Papers by journal
  9. Filtering Criteria

Flood Modeling and Risk Assessment

This week features 4 papers advancing flood science, spanning susceptibility mapping, risk assessment, and hydrodynamic modeling. Notable contributions from Kabir, Talukdar et al. The studies collectively advance both data-driven and physically-based approaches to flood prediction and management.

A deep convolutional neural network model for rapid prediction of fluvial flood inundation

Authors: Syed Rezwan Kabir, Sandhya Patidar, Xilin Xia, Qiuhua Liang, Jeffrey Neal, Gareth Pender

Journal: Journal of Hydrology · DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125481 · Citations: 343

Matched topics: flood

Abstract not available.


Flood susceptibility modeling in Teesta River basin, Bangladesh using novel ensembles of bagging algorithms

Authors: Swapan Talukdar, Bonosri Ghose, Shahfahad, Roquia Salam, Susanta Mahato, Quoc Bao Pham et al.

Journal: Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment · DOI: 10.1007/s00477-020-01862-5 · Citations: 219

Matched topics: river, flood

Abstract not available.


Impacts of climate change and reservoir operation on streamflow and flood characteristics in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin

Authors: Xiaobo Yun, Qiuhong Tang, Jie Wang, Xingcai Liu, Yongqiang Zhang, Hui Lü et al.

Journal: Journal of Hydrology · DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125472 · Citations: 170

Matched topics: river, streamflow, reservoir, water management, flood, climate change, hydropower

Abstract The Lancang-Mekong River Basin (LMRB) is one of the most important transboundary river basins in Asia. While climate change perturbs the streamflow and affects flood events, reservoir operation may mitigate or aggravate this impact. Therefore, quantitative assessment of the climate change impact and reservoir effect on the LMRB is a vital prerequisite for future hydropower development and environmental protection. This study aimed to estimate the variation of the streamflow and flood…


Cryosphere hazards in Ladakh: the 2014 Gya glacial lake outburst flood and its implications for risk assessment

Authors: Susanne Schmidt, Marcus Nüsser, Ravi Baghel, Juliane Dame

Journal: Natural Hazards · DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04262-8 · Citations: 94

Matched topics: hydrology, flood

Abstract This article attempts to reconstruct the causes and consequences of the 2014 glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) event in Gya, Ladakh. We analyse the evolution of the Gya glacial lake using a high temporal and high spatial resolution remote sensing approach. In order to frame the case study in a larger picture, we produce a comprehensive inventory of glacial lakes for the entire Trans-Himalayan region of Ladakh. Changes in the extent and number of glacial lakes have been detected for …


Drought Analysis and Prediction

Drought research this week encompasses 17 studies covering monitoring, prediction, and impact assessment. Key work by Tramblay, Peters et al. highlights advances in drought characterization across multiple spatial and temporal scales.

Challenges for drought assessment in the Mediterranean region under future climate scenarios

Authors: Yves Tramblay, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Luis Samaniego, Sergio M. Vicente‐Serrano, Florence Volaire, Aaron Boone et al.

Journal: Earth-Science Reviews · DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103348 · Citations: 641

Matched topics: hydrology, hydrologic model, streamflow, drought, land surface model, surface water, irrigation, earth system model

Droughts can have strong environmental and socio-economic impacts in the Mediterranean region, in particular for countries relying on rain-fed agricultural production, but also in areas in which irrigation plays an important role and in which natural vegetation has been modified or is subject to water stress. The purpose of this review is to provide an assessment of the complexity of the drought phenomenon in the Mediterranean region and present various perspectives on drought in the present …


A historical, geographical and ecological perspective on the 2018 European summer drought

Authors: Wouter Peters, Ana Bastos, Philippe Ciais, Alex Vermeulen

Journal: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2019.0505 · Citations: 201

Matched topics: drought, land surface model

International audience


Drought characteristics and its elevation dependence in the Qinghai–Tibet plateau during the last half-century

Authors: Wei Feng, Hongwei Lu, Tianci Yao, Qing Yu

Journal: Scientific Reports · DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-71295-1 · Citations: 200

Matched topics: streamflow, drought

Associated with global warming, drought has destructive influences on agriculture and ecosystems, especially in the fragile Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). This study investigated spatial-temporal patterns of meteorological drought in the QTP and its surrounding areas and made an attempt to explore the relationship between drought conditions and elevation. Robust monitoring data from 274 meteorological stations during 1970-2017 were analyzed using the Sen’s slope method, Mann-Kendall trend test …


Projected drought conditions in Northwest China with CMIP6 models under combined SSPs and RCPs for 2015–2099

Authors: Su-Yuan Li, Lijuan Miao, Zhihong Jiang, Guojie Wang, Kaushal Raj Gnyawali, Jing Zhang et al.

Journal: Advances in Climate Change Research · DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.09.003 · Citations: 185

Matched topics: drought

Northwest China is one of the most arid regions in the world and has experienced intriguing climate warming and humidification. Nonetheless, future climate conditions in Northwest China still remain uncertain. In this study, we applied an ensemble of the 12 latest model simulations of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) to assess future drought conditions until 2099 in Northwest China, as inferred from the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI). Future drought conditions w…


More frequent and widespread persistent compound drought and heat event observed in China

Authors: Rong Yu, Panmao Zhai

Journal: Scientific Reports · DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-71312-3 · Citations: 180

Matched topics: drought

Compound drought and heat event (CDHE) causes severe impacts on agriculture, ecosystem, and human health. Based on daily maximum surface air temperature and meteorological drought composite index data in China, changing features of CDHEs in warm season from 1961 to 2018 is explored at a daily time scale based on a strict and objective definition in this study. Results reveal that CDHEs have occurred more frequently and widely in China, especially since the late 1990s. Notably, such changes ar…


Sensitivity of gross primary productivity to climatic drivers during the summer drought of 2018 in Europe

Authors: Zheng Fu, Philippe Ciais, Ana Bastos, Paul C. Stoy, Hui Yang, Julia K. Green et al.

Journal: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2019.0747 · Citations: 151

Matched topics: hydrology, drought

In summer 2018, Europe experienced a record drought, but it remains unknown how the drought affected ecosystem carbon dynamics. Using observations from 34 eddy covariance sites in different biomes across Europe, we studied the sensitivity of gross primary productivity (GPP) to environmental drivers during the summer drought of 2018 versus the reference summer of 2016. We found a greater drought-induced decline of summer GPP in grasslands (-38%) than in forests (-10%), which coincided with red…


Future global socioeconomic risk to droughts based on estimates of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability in a changing climate

Authors: Yujie Liu, Jie Chen

Journal: The Science of The Total Environment · DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142159 · Citations: 136

Matched topics: drought

Abstract not available.


Drought Propagation in Contiguous U.S. Watersheds: A Process‐Based Understanding of the Role of Climate and Watershed Properties

Authors: Tushar Apurv, Ximing Cai

Journal: Water Resources Research · DOI: 10.1029/2020wr027755 · Citations: 132

Matched topics: hydrologic model, streamflow, drought

Abstract Drought impacts on the society and environment are influenced by how droughts propagate through the hydrologic cycle; however, the physical processes involved in drought propagation are not well understood. In this study, a physically based hydrologic model is used to understand the drought propagation mechanisms and their controlling factors in multiple watersheds selected from different regions of the contiguous United States (CONUS). The characteristics of hydrologic droughts are …


Drought stress alters floral volatiles and reduces floral rewards, pollinator activity, and seed set in a global plant

Authors: Caitlin C. Rering, José G. Franco, Kathleen M. Yeater, Rachel E. Mallinger

Journal: Ecosphere · DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.3254 · Citations: 124

Matched topics: drought

Abstract Plant–pollinator interactions are mediated by floral signals and by the quantity and quality of floral rewards. Biotic and abiotic disturbances can influence plant reproductive success through both direct effects on plant performance and indirect effects on pollinator attraction. In this study, we examined the effects of drought on buckwheat ( Fagopyrum esculentum Moensch), a globally cultivated plant that is prone to drought stress, dependent on insect pollinators for reproduction, …


Changes in net ecosystem exchange over Europe during the 2018 drought based on atmospheric observations

Authors: Rona L. Thompson, Grégoire Broquet, Christoph Gerbig, Thomas Koch, Matthew Lang, Guillaume Monteil et al.

Journal: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2019.0512 · Citations: 120

Matched topics: drought

uptake. The positive NEE anomalies coincided spatially and temporally with negative anomalies in soil water. These anomalies were exceptional for the 10-year period of our study. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Impacts of the 2018 severe drought and heatwave in Europe: from site to continental scale’.


Grapevine VlbZIP30 improves drought resistance by directly activating VvNAC17 and promoting lignin biosynthesis through the regulation of three peroxidase genes

Authors: Mingxing Tu, Xianhang Wang, Wuchen Yin, Ya Wang, Yajuan Li, Guofeng Zhang et al.

Journal: Horticulture Research · DOI: 10.1038/s41438-020-00372-3 · Citations: 110

Matched topics: drought

-mediated mechanism linking lignification and drought tolerance in grapevine. The results of this study may be of value for the development of molecular breeding strategies to produce drought-resistant fruit crops.


Effect of the 2018 European drought on methane and carbon dioxide exchange of northern mire ecosystems

Authors: Janne Rinne, Juha‐Pekka Tuovinen, Leif Klemedtsson, Mika Aurela, Jutta Holst, Annalea Lohila et al.

Journal: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2019.0517 · Citations: 106

Matched topics: drought

uptake. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Impacts of the 2018 severe drought and heatwave in Europe: from site to continental scale’.


Characteristics of Leaf Stomata and Their Relationship with Photosynthesis in Saccharum officinarum Under Drought and Silicon Application

Authors: Krishan K. Verma, Xiu‐Peng Song, Yuan Zeng, Dongmei Li, Dao-Jun Guo, Vishnu D. Rajput et al.

Journal: ACS Omega · DOI: 10.1021/acsomega.0c03820 · Citations: 106

Matched topics: drought

Si and exposed for 60 days under each stress condition such as 100-95, 55-50, and 35-30% of field capacity. For the photosynthetic responses, each leaf was observed and separated into three equal parts (base, middle, and tip). We used intact leaves and were able to assess leaf photosynthetic responses. Under moderate and severe stress conditions, applied Si increased the photosynthesis (base, ∼16-143%; middle, 20-66%; and tip leaf part, 41-71%), transpiration rate (base, 15-97%; middle, 26-68…


The fingerprint of the summer 2018 drought in Europe on ground-based atmospheric CO2measurements

Authors: Michel Ramonet, P. Ciais, Francesco Apadula, Jakub Bartyzel, Ana Bastos, P. Bergamaschi et al.

Journal: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2019.0513 · Citations: 99

Matched topics: drought

anomaly in 2003 (+3 ppm averaged over 4 sites), and a smaller anomaly in 2015 (+1 ppm averaged over 11 sites) compared to 2018. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Impacts of the 2018 severe drought and heatwave in Europe: from site to continental scale’.


Climate elasticity of evapotranspiration shifts the water balance of Mediterranean climates during multi-year droughts

Authors: Francesco Avanzi, Joseph Rungee, Tessa Maurer, Roger C. Bales, Qin Ma, Steven D. Glaser et al.

Journal: Hydrology and earth system sciences · DOI: 10.5194/hess-24-4317-2020 · Citations: 98

Matched topics: hydrologic model, runoff, streamflow, drought, hydropower

Abstract. Multi-year droughts in Mediterranean climates may shift the water balance, that is, the partitioning rule of precipitation across runoff, evapotranspiration, and sub-surface storage. Mechanisms causing these shifts remain largely unknown and are not well represented in hydrologic models. Focusing on measurements from the headwaters of California’s Feather River, we found that also in these mixed rain–snow Mediterranean basins a lower fraction of precipitation was partitioned to runo…


Unfamiliar Territory: Emerging Themes for Ecological Drought Research and Management

Authors: Shelley D. Crausbay, Julio L. Betancourt, John B. Bradford, Jennifer Cartwright, William C. Dennison, Jason B. Dunham et al.

Journal: One Earth · DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.08.019 · Citations: 93

Matched topics: hydrology, streamflow, water management, drought

Novel forms of drought are emerging globally, due to climate change, shifting teleconnection patterns, expanding human water use, and a history of human influence on the environment that increases the probability of transformational ecological impacts. These costly ecological impacts cascade to human communities, and understanding this changing drought landscape is one of today’s grand challenges. By using a modified horizon-scanning approach that integrated scientists, managers, and decision…


Physiological response of Swiss ecosystems to 2018 drought across plant types and elevation

Authors: Mana Gharun, Lukas Hörtnagl, Eugénie Paul‐Limoges, Shiva Ghiasi, Iris Feigenwinter, Susanne Burri et al.

Journal: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2019.0521 · Citations: 93

Matched topics: hydrology, drought

Using five eddy covariance flux sites (two forests and three grasslands), we investigated ecosystem physiological responses to the 2018 drought across elevational gradients in Switzerland. Flux measurements showed that at lower elevation sites (below 1000 m.a.s.l.; grassland and mixed forest) annual ecosystem productivity (GPP) declined by approximately 20% compared to the previous 2 years (2016 and 2017), which led to a reduced annual net ecosystem productivity (NEP). At the high elevation s…


Streamflow Forecasting and Machine Learning

Machine learning and data-driven approaches to streamflow prediction feature prominently with 3 papers. The studies demonstrate continued innovation in hybrid modeling frameworks, signal decomposition techniques, and ensemble methods for improved hydrological forecasting.

Authors: Alban Kuriqi, Rawshan Ali, Q. Pham, Julio Isaac Montenegro Gambini, Vivek Gupta, Anurag Malik et al.

Journal: Acta Geophysica · DOI: 10.1007/s11600-020-00475-4 · Citations: 116

Matched topics: streamflow, water management, seasonal

Abstract not available.


Impact assessment of climate change and human activities on streamflow signatures in the Yellow River Basin using the Budyko hypothesis and derived differential equation

Authors: Wei Wang, Yongyong Zhang, Qiuhong Tang

Journal: Journal of Hydrology · DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125460 · Citations: 102

Matched topics: hydrologic model, river, runoff, streamflow, climate change

Abstract not available.


Forecast Informed Reservoir Operations Using Ensemble Streamflow Predictions for a Multipurpose Reservoir in Northern California

Authors: Chris Delaney, Robert K. Hartman, J. Mendoza, M. Dettinger, L. Delle Monache, J. Jasperse et al.

Journal: Water Resources Research · DOI: 10.1029/2019WR026604 · Citations: 92

Matched topics: streamflow

Ensemble Forecast Operations (EFO) is a risk‐based approach of reservoir flood control operations that incorporates ensemble streamflow predictions (ESPs) made by the California‐Nevada River Forecast Center. Reservoir operations for each member of an ESP are individually modeled to forecast system conditions and calculate risk of reaching critical operational thresholds. Reservoir release decisions are simulated to manage forecasted risk with respect to established risk tolerance levels. EFO …


Climate Change and Water Resources

Climate-water interactions are explored in 19 papers this week, addressing impacts on the cryosphere, water cycle components, and regional water resources under changing conditions.

The contribution of global aviation to anthropogenic climate forcing for 2000 to 2018

Authors: David S. Lee, D. W. Fahey, Agnieszka Skowron, Myles Allen, Ulrike Burkhardt, Qing Chen et al.

Journal: Atmospheric Environment · DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117834 · Citations: 1526

Matched topics: land surface model, climate change, earth system model

aviation emissions and cloud effects remain a continued focus of anthropogenic climate change research and policy discussions.


The appallingly bad neoclassical economics of climate change

Authors: Steve Keen

Journal: Globalizations · DOI: 10.1080/14747731.2020.1807856 · Citations: 199

Matched topics: climate change

Forecasts by economists of the economic damage from climate change have been notably sanguine, compared to warnings by scientists about damage to the biosphere. This is because economists made their own predictions of damages, using three spurious methods: assuming that about 90% of GDP will be unaffected by climate change, because it happens indoors; using the relationship between temperature and GDP today as a proxy for the impact of global warming over time; and using surveys that diluted …


New perspectives on ‘warming–wetting’ trend in Xinjiang, China

Authors: Qian Wang, Panmao Zhai, Dahe Qin

Journal: Advances in Climate Change Research · DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.09.004 · Citations: 165

Matched topics: water management

Recently, a hot topic about warmer and wetter climate change in the arid region of Northwest China, especially in Xinjiang, has attracted much attention by general public and scientific community. This study revisits this topic especially for Xinjiang in the Eurasian continental context from multiple perspectives based on most updated CRU high-resolution grid data and China’s homogenized station data in 1961–2019. We conclude that such ‘warming–wetting’ trend is not a regional phenomenon for …


Disaster and climate change resilience: A bibliometric analysis

Authors: Irfan Ahmad Rana

Journal: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction · DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101839 · Citations: 151

Matched topics: climate change

Abstract not available.


Mercury linked to Deccan Traps volcanism, climate change and the end-Cretaceous mass extinction

Authors: Gerta Keller, Paula Mateo, Johannes Monkenbusch, Nicolas Thibault, Jahnavi Punekar, Jorge E. Spangenberg et al.

Journal: Global and Planetary Change · DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2020.103312 · Citations: 124

Matched topics: climate change

Abstract not available.


Three decades of research on climate change and peace: a bibliometrics analysis

Authors: Ayyoob Sharifi, Dahlia Simangan, Shinji Kaneko

Journal: Sustainability Science · DOI: 10.1007/s11625-020-00853-3 · Citations: 123

Matched topics: climate change

Abstract not available.


The Sea State CCI dataset v1: towards a sea state climate data record based on satellite observations

Authors: Guillaume Dodet, Jean‐François Piollé, Yves Quilfen, Saleh Abdalla, Mickaël Accensi, Fabrice Ardhuin et al.

Journal: Earth system science data · DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-1929-2020 · Citations: 123

Matched topics: earth system model

Abstract. Sea state data are of major importance for climate studies, marine engineering, safety at sea and coastal management. However, long-term sea state datasets are sparse and not always consistent, and sea state data users still mostly rely on numerical wave models for research and engineering applications. Facing the urgent need for a sea state climate data record, the Global Climate Observing System has listed “Sea State” as an Essential Climate Variable (ECV), fostering the launch in…


Potential risks and challenges of climate change in the arid region of northwestern China

Authors: Yaning Chen, Xueqi Zhang, Gonghuan Fang, Zhi Li, Fei Wang, Jingxiu Qin et al.

Journal: Regional Sustainability · DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2020.06.003 · Citations: 117

Matched topics: climate change

In the arid region of northwestern China (ARNC), water resources are the most critical factor restricting socioeconomic development and influencing the stability of the area’s ecological systems. The region’s complex water system and unique hydrological cycle show distinctive characteristics. Moreover, the intensified hydrological cycle and extreme climatic and hydrological events resulting from global warming have led to increased uncertainty around water resources as well as heightened conf…


Improving Climate Change Mitigation Analysis: A Framework for Examining Feasibility

Authors: Kristian Steensen Nielsen, Paul C. Stern, Thomas Dietz, Jonathan M. Gilligan, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Maria J. Figueroa et al.

Journal: One Earth · DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.08.007 · Citations: 114

Matched topics: climate change

Abstract not available.


Butterfly effect and a self-modulating El Niño response to global warming

Authors: Wenju Cai, Benjamin Ng, Tao Geng, Lixin Wu, Agus Santoso, Michael J. McPhaden

Journal: Nature · DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2641-x · Citations: 111

Matched topics: earth system model

Abstract not available.


Future changes in heatwave severity, duration and frequency due to climate change for the most populous cities

Authors: Simon J. Brown

Journal: Weather and Climate Extremes · DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2020.100278 · Citations: 103

Matched topics: climate change

A novel approach to quantify the present and future heatwave hazard is presented which can discern characteristics beyond what can be achieved from current approaches, such as distributions of severity, duration and frequency, including very low probability events that may not have been seen. A statistical model is built that represents the seasonal cycle, climate change, magnitude and temporal behaviour of all temperatures above a moderately high time varying threshold at a site from which v…


Assessing the Potential for Mobilization of Old Soil Carbon After Permafrost Thaw: A Synthesis of 14C Measurements From the Northern Permafrost Region

Authors: Cristian Estop‐Aragonés, David Olefeldt, Benjamin W. Abbott, Jeffrey P. Chanton, C. I. Czimczik, Joshua Dean et al.

Journal: Global Biogeochemical Cycles · DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006672 · Citations: 102

Matched topics: hydrology

Abstract The magnitude of future emissions of greenhouse gases from the northern permafrost region depends crucially on the mineralization of soil organic carbon (SOC) that has accumulated over millennia in these perennially frozen soils. Many recent studies have used radiocarbon ( 14 C) to quantify the release of this “old” SOC as CO 2 or CH 4 to the atmosphere or as dissolved and particulate organic carbon (DOC and POC) to surface waters. We compiled ~1,900 14 C measurements from 51 sites i…


A Research Agenda for Climate Change Communication and Public Opinion: The Role of Scientific Consensus Messaging and Beyond

Authors: Robin Bayes, Toby Bolsen, James Druckman

Journal: Environmental Communication · DOI: 10.1080/17524032.2020.1805343 · Citations: 102

Matched topics: climate change

That climate change has been accelerated by human activity is supported by a near-universal consensus of climate scientists. In this paper, we review many of the studies that have been done on the impact of communicating the scientific consensus to the general public. We discuss ongoing debates about these studies, but more importantly, we highlight complementary areas that we believe should define future research. We emphasize how a focus on processing motivations, context, and message varia…


How anticipated emotions shape behavioral intentions to fight climate change

Authors: Philippe Odou, Marie Schill

Journal: Journal of Business Research · DOI: 10.1016/j.jbusres.2020.08.047 · Citations: 97

Matched topics: climate change

Abstract not available.


Climate Change Scenarios and Effects on Snow-Melt Runoff

Authors: Safieh Javadinejad, Rebwar Nasir Dara, Forough Jafary

Journal: Civil Engineering Journal · DOI: 10.28991/cej-2020-03091577 · Citations: 95

Matched topics: hydrology, hydrologic model, runoff, climate change

Climate change is an important environmental issue, as progression of melting glaciers and snow cover is sensitive to climate alteration. The aim of this research was to model climate alterations forecasts, and to assess potential changes in snow cover and snow-melt runoff under the different climate change scenarios in the case study of the Zayandeh-rud River Basin. Three cluster models for climate change (NorESM1-M, IPSL-CM5A-LR and CSIRO-MK3.6.0) were applied under RCP 8.5, 4.5 and 2.6 sce…


Leveraging Social Science to Generate Lasting Engagement with Climate Change Solutions

Authors: Matthew H. Goldberg, Abel Gustafson, Sander van der Linden

Journal: One Earth · DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.08.011 · Citations: 95

Matched topics: climate change

Abstract not available.


The impact of climate change on the labor allocation: Empirical evidence from China

Authors: Kaixing Huang, Hong Zhao, Jikun Huang, Jinxia Wang, Christopher Findlay

Journal: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management · DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2020.102376 · Citations: 92

Matched topics: climate change

Abstract not available.


Assessing impacts of future climate change on extreme fire weather and pyro-regions in Iberian Peninsula

Authors: Tomás Calheiros, Mário Pereira, João Pedro Nunes

Journal: The Science of The Total Environment · DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142233 · Citations: 92

Matched topics: climate change

Abstract not available.


The Global‐Mean Precipitation Response to CO2‐Induced Warming in CMIP6 Models

Authors: Angeline G. Pendergrass

Journal: Geophysical Research Letters · DOI: 10.1029/2020gl089964 · Citations: 88

Matched topics: hydrologic model

Abstract We examine the response of globally averaged precipitation to global warming—the hydrologic sensitivity (HS)—in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) multi‐model ensemble. Multi‐model mean HS is 2.5% K −1 (ranging from 2.1–3.1% K −1 across models), a modest decrease compared to CMIP5 (where it was 2.6% K −1 ). This new set of simulations is used as an out‐of‐sample test for observational constraints on HS proposed based on CMIP5. The constraint based on clear‐sky …


Hydrologic Modeling and Calibration

Hydrologic model development and evaluation features 4 papers covering precipitation estimation, model calibration, rainfall-runoff processes, and large-scale simulation advances.

Improved Estimators of Model Performance Efficiency for Skewed Hydrologic Data

Authors: Jonathan Lamontagne, Caitline A. Barber, Richard M. Vogel

Journal: Water Resources Research · DOI: 10.1029/2020wr027101 · Citations: 140

Matched topics: hydrology, hydrologic model, streamflow

Abstract The Nash‐Sutcliffe efficiency ( NSE ) and the Kling‐Gupta efficiency ( KGE ) are now the most widely used indices in hydrology for evaluation of the goodness of fit between model simulations S and observations O . We introduce two theoretical (probabilistic) definitions of efficiency, E and E′ , based on the estimators NSE and KGE , respectively, which enable controlled Monte Carlo experiments at 447 watersheds to evaluate their performance. Although NSE is generally unbiased, it exh…


Taiwan Earth System Model Version 1: description and evaluation of mean state

Authors: Wei‐Liang Lee, Yi‐Chi Wang, Chein‐Jung Shiu, I‐Chun Tsai, Chia‐Ying Tu, Yung-Yao Lan et al.

Journal: Geoscientific model development · DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-3887-2020 · Citations: 130

Matched topics: hydrology, land surface model, earth system model

Abstract. The Taiwan Earth System Model (TaiESM) version 1 is developed based on Community Earth System Model version 1.2.2 of National Center for Atmospheric Research. Several innovative physical and chemical parameterizations, including trigger functions for deep convection, cloud macrophysics, aerosol, and three-dimensional radiation–topography interaction, as well as a one-dimensional mixed-layer model optional for the atmosphere component, are incorporated. The precipitation variability,…


Rainfall and conduit drainage combine to accelerate nitrate loss from a karst agroecosystem: Insights from stable isotope tracing and high-frequency nitrate sensing

Authors: Fu‐Jun Yue, Si‐Liang Li, Susan Waldron, Zhongjun Wang, David M. Oliver, Xi Chen et al.

Journal: Water Research · DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2020.116388 · Citations: 114

Matched topics: water management

Understanding where nitrate is mobilized from and under what conditions is required to reduce nitrate loss and protect water quality. Low frequency sampling may inadequately capture hydrological and biogeochemical processes that will influence nitrate behavior. We used high-frequency isotope sampling and in-situ nitrate sensing to explore nitrate export and transformation in a karst critical zone. Nitrate was mobilised during light rainfall, and transferred from soil layers to the karst matri…


Improving near real-time precipitation estimation using a U-Net convolutional neural network and geographical information

Authors: Mojtaba Sadeghi, Phu Nguyen, Kuolin Hsu, Soroosh Sorooshian

Journal: Environmental Modelling & Software · DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104856 · Citations: 110

Matched topics: hydrology

Abstract not available.


Water Management and Sustainability

Water management research spans 3 papers addressing topics from irrigation optimization and reservoir operations to water resource assessment and sustainability frameworks.

A transition from conventional irrigation to fertigation with reclaimed wastewater: Prospects and challenges

Authors: K. Chojnacka, A. Witek-Krowiak, K. Moustakas, D. Skrzypczak, K. Mikula, M. Loizidou

Journal: Unknown · DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2020.109959 · Citations: 144

Matched topics: irrigation

Abstract The aim of this review was to discuss the transition from traditional irrigation to fertigation using reclaimed wastewater in countries with moderate climate. In most European countries there are no regulations on waste water reuse and on the other hand there are countries where regulations are very strict. An important aspect is to standardize the restrictions, which would minimize uncontrolled use of wastewater for fertigation. Wastewater is a source of plant nutrients and organic …


Deficit irrigation improves maize yield and water use efficiency in a semi-arid environment

Authors: Yufeng Zou, Qaisar Saddique, Ajaz Ali, Jiatun Xu, Muhammad Imran Khan, Qing Mu et al.

Journal: Agricultural Water Management · DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106483 · Citations: 116

Matched topics: irrigation

Abstract not available.


Health risk assessment of toxicants in Meriç River Delta Wetland, Thrace Region, Turkey

Authors: Cem Tokatlı, Fikret Ustaoğlu

Journal: Environmental Earth Sciences · DOI: 10.1007/s12665-020-09171-4 · Citations: 102

Matched topics: river

Abstract not available.


Statistics

Metric Count
Databases searched 2
Topics searched 16
Total papers fetched 965
After deduplication 752
After LLM relevance filtering 50
Rejected (not relevant) 702

Papers by journal

Journal Papers
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences 6
Journal of Hydrology 3
Water Resources Research 3
One Earth 3
Scientific Reports 2
Advances in Climate Change Research 2
The Science of The Total Environment 2
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 1
Natural Hazards 1
Earth-Science Reviews 1
Ecosphere 1
Horticulture Research 1
ACS Omega 1
Hydrology and earth system sciences 1
Acta Geophysica 1
Atmospheric Environment 1
Globalizations 1
International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 1
Global and Planetary Change 1
Sustainability Science 1
Earth system science data 1
Regional Sustainability 1
Nature 1
Weather and Climate Extremes 1
Global Biogeochemical Cycles 1
Environmental Communication 1
Journal of Business Research 1
Civil Engineering Journal 1
Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 1
Geophysical Research Letters 1
Geoscientific model development 1
Water Research 1
Environmental Modelling & Software 1
Unknown 1
Agricultural Water Management 1
Environmental Earth Sciences 1

Filtering Criteria

Topics: hydrology, hydrologic model, river, runoff, streamflow, reservoir, water management, flood, drought, seasonal, land surface model, climate change, hydropower, surface water, irrigation, earth system model

Databases: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex


Back to top

Powered by CrossRef, Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, and Claude

This site uses Just the Docs, a documentation theme for Jekyll.